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Super Bowl XLVII: San Francisco 49ers notes, trends and odds

Super Bowl XLVII: San Francisco 49ers notes, trends and odds

NFL Football - San Francisco 49ers


San Francisco 49ers

No team has been better in the Super Bowl  than the San Francisco 49ers , who are unbeaten in five tries. And they 4-point WagerWeb.com favorites to win a sixth title on Sunday against Baltimore, which would tie the Pittsburgh Steelers for the most Super Bowls in NFL history.

The 49ers erased a 17-0 deficit in the NFC Championship Game to defeat Atlanta 28-24. San Francisco is one of only three teams to win a postseason game on the road after trailing by as many as 17 points. San Francisco’s Colin Kaepernick, who took over as the team’s starting quarterback in Week 11, has guided the team to a 7-2 record (.778) in his starts, including a pair of postseason victories. In those nine starts, he has a 101.2 passer rating (13 touchdowns, four interceptions) and has rushed for 440 yards with four TDs.

In the NFC Championship Game, he completed 16 of 21 passes (76.2 percent) for 233 yards with one touchdown, no interceptions and a 127.7 passer rating. His 11.1 yards per pass mark was the highest in 49ers postseason history, besting the previous club record of 10.7 held by Joe Montana.

Kaepernick’s seven career regular-season starts are the third-fewest for a starting quarterback in the Super Bowl, trailing only Jeff Hostetler (four) and Vince Ferragamo (five). In the postseason, Kaepernick has a 105.9 passer rating and has rushed for 202 yards. No player has ever posted a 100+ passer rating and rushed for at least 200 yards in a single postseason.

Kaepernick is the 5th 1st or 2nd year quarterback to start the Super Bowl. Of the 4 previous QBs to make it so early in their career, 3 won and 2 were named MVP of the game. And all except for Dan Marino ending up making multiple Super Bowl trips in their careers.

The 49ers have averaged 8.5 yards per rush outside the tackles in the postseason, and 6.9 yards on those runs for the entire season. The Ravens have allowed 3.6 yards per rush outside the tackles, including postseason, the third-best rate in the NFL.

Defensively, the 49ers have allowed the fewest yards per rush after contact this season (including playoffs), and have now led the NFL in three straight seasons. The Ravens rank 12th this season with 1.6 yards per rush allowed after contact. The Niners’ Aldon Smith has recorded 34.0 of his 35.5 career sacks when part of a four or fewer man pass rush. The next highest 49ers defender, Ahmad Brooks, has 13.5 sacks when the 49ers use such pressure.

San Francisco lost to the Ravens 16-6 on Thanksgiving Night 2011, but Kaepernick didn’t play in the game. Neither did Ravens star linebacker Ray Lewis. Baltimore’s Joe Flacco threw for 161 yards and tossed an 8-yard pass to tight end Dennis Pitta for the game’s only touchdown.

WagerWeb.com trends: 49ers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. 49ers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 49ers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 49ers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. 49ers are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games overall.

Please note that all lines are opening lines, check our current odds here.

 

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