25* graded play on the LA Lakers as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by less than 5 and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is 124-181 ATS (-75.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game since 1996. Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Rockets are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 Wednesday games. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Fundamental Discussion Points Los Angeles added veterans in center Timofey Mozgov, forward Luol Deng and point guard Jose Calderon. Second-year point guard D'Angelo Russell (13.2 points) experienced a star-crossed season as a rookie while young power forward Julius Randle (11.3 points, 10.2 rebounds) displayed that he's ready to take on a bigger role. For the Lakers it's no longer the Kobe show and they can get to play ball. Take LA Lakers with the points.
25* graded play on New Orleans as they take on Denver in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Orleans will win this game by more than 5 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Fundamental Discussion Points The Pelicans won the last two meetings after the Nuggets won five of the previous six encounters. Even with an injured roster, the Pelicans can come out on top, as they are still favored in this matchup. Take New Orleans Pelicans.
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Edmonton in NHL action set to start at 9:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this match.
Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 95-39 mark good for 71% winners and has made 41 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play against an underdog against the money line (EDMONTON) well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a stout 12-3 against the money line (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Fundamental Discussion Points Edmonton if off to a very impressive 5-1 start recording 10 points and is a far cry from their fourth place finish in the Pacific Division last year. They are a young team that is a work in progress for this season and I do not see them competing for a playoff berth in the highly competitive Western Conference. Washington scored 120 points with an amazing 56-18-8 record winning the Metropolitan Division last season. Washington is very experienced led by Alex Ovechkin. The league's leading goal scorer over the past four seasons had 50 last year and at 31 is still counted on to be the Capitals' biggest producer. He has All-Star centers Nicklas Backstrom and Evgeny Kuznetsov to play with, and should continue his career-long streak of scoring 30-plus goals. Washington is the better team.
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Oklahoma City in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philly will lose this game by less than 7 points and have a small chance to pull off the upset.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and they are 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Thunder are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. 76ers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Northwest. 76ers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. Western Conference. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings head-to-head.
Fundamental Discussion Points The Sixers have surprised the betting public over the past few years with how close other teams let them play and by how well they play despite tanking. They always fight hard as a team. Take Philadelphia 76ers.
John Ryan has been handicapping baseball, football, and basketball for over 20 years. He has won several National contests and has placed in top-5's in countless others. John's philosophy and goals is based on the long-term, and he has found that over time consistency is what promotes success. The key to utilizing our computer generated algorithms, information and selections are to consistently investing the same amount on each selection. This process will ensure that our bankroll and our clients will maximize their investment return. Moreover, the entire methodology eliminates the human emotion from all selection processes. Our computer systems are based on genetic algorithms and an adaptive-structure Neural Network. In summary, our systems calculate and analyze several hundred thousand pieces of data in combination with one another for each game played. The systems also optimize our combination of rules and utilize "team momentum" much like one would do in the technical analysis of a stock or soybean prices. Much like the commodities markets we have applied a "contrarian view" as one of the rules. For example, if a given trend in any sport is posting a 15-2 ATS, then the model will immediately make note that this trend has matured and that a reversal of this trend is likely. If the computer selects the team that does not support this given trend, the 15-2 trend will actually be supportive of the selection. The relative and key differences in opponents are then presented in the selection write-up. The write-up will state why we have selected a given team and will outline the various statistics and trends supporting that selection. We believe that our information is unique and informative and hopefully as profitable as the previous years have been. The key is giving us an honest try and staying with the methodology. Thank you again for your support and good luck.
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