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John Ryan John Ryan
10* Western Conference Game of the Year featuring amazing array of data sets with one producing an 10-0 mark and 9-1 ATS. Plus another set that is a perfect undefeated 100% with the average cover being 14 points!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2017
Celtics vs Cavs
Cavs
-16½ -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

7* graded play on Cleveland (504) as they take on Boston in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by at least 17 points.

 

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Not all that surprising to see the Cavaliers show up as a graded play by the SIM. Boston was humiliated by 46 points on their home court and now have to travel to Cleveland and play in a fan frenzied environment without Thomas.

    Cleveland shot 56.5% and Boston shot a horrid 37.2% in Game 2. Teams in playoff games that shot 55% or better and allowed 37.5% or less and covered the previous game by 20 or more points are an amazing 5-1 ATS.

 

Date

Team

Opp

Site

Final

Line

Total

SU margin

ATS margin

SU result

ATS result

OU Result

May 21, 2017

Cavaliers

Celtics

home

 

-16.5

214.5

     

May 20, 2017

Warriors

Spurs

away

120-108

-8.5

214

12

3.5

W

W

O

May 10, 2013

Heat

Bulls

away

104-94

-8

187.5

10

2

W

W

O

May 24, 2012

Heat

Pacers

away

105-93

-3

181

12

9

W

W

O

Apr 29, 2009

Nuggets

Pelicans

home

107-86

-10.5

197.5

21

10.5

W

W

U

May 03, 2005

Celtics

Pacers

home

85-90

-4.5

183.5

-5

-9.5

L

L

U

April 24, 2003

Timberwolves

Lakers

away

114-110

10

201

4

14

W

W

O

 

The highlighted game is the only one that possessed a double digit line and the results mirror what we expect from tonight’s contest.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cavaliers.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2017
Nationals vs Braves
Nationals
-169 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

7* graded play on Washington (951) as they take on Atlanta in MLB action set to start at 1:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  Washington will win this game.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared to a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Washington  is a -165 favorite currently and has a better than 85% probability of winning today’s game. So, don’t focus on the probability alone as it must be combined with the line to get the full meaning and strength of the play. Over the course of the season, it can be expected, but not guaranteed to see a steady flow of profits from following the SIM Algorithm discipline.

 

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The Braves have been on a strong winning run of late. They have won five of the last 6 games and 7 of the past 11 games. Playing against these hot teams that have won 7 or more of the last 11 games and are now installed as a 135 Dog or higher are 10-24 SU for 29.4% winners in 2017. This equates to a negative 25% ROI. If we add to the query that the dog is on the road, they have produced an even worse 8-21 record for 27.6% winners and a negative 29% ROI.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nationals.

 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 21, 2017
Brewers vs Cubs
Brewers
+181 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

7* graded play on Milwaukee (961) as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB NL action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  will win this game.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Milwaukee is that +140 DOG and if we would play all of thee +140 dogs and hit 62% of them over the course of the season, our cash balances would climb significantly.

 

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

    So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Milwaukee and Chicago had their Saturday date to play baseball postponed. On Friday, Milwaukee left a shocking 26 players on base in their win over the Cubs. So, these away dogs, who won their previous and had at least 18 men LOB are a solid investment in their next game producing a very nice 22.0% ROI. They have gone 18-15 for 54.5% and have made 7.52 units/unit wagered averaging a +127 Dog wager.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Milwaukee.

 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 22, 2017
Twins vs Orioles
Twins
+123 at betonline
P
Play Type: Top Premium

7* graded play on Minnesota (909) as they take on Baltimore in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  Minnesota will win this game.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Minnesota is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

 

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

    So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 86-47 hitting 65% winners and has made 37.7 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) with a starting pitcher that gives up 1 or more HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Twins are a solid 9-3 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.

 

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Twins.

 

SERVICE BIO

John Ryan has been handicapping baseball, football, and basketball for over 20 years. He has won several National contests and has placed in top-5's in countless others. John's philosophy and goals is based on the long-term, and he has found that over time consistency is what promotes success. The key to utilizing our computer generated algorithms, information and selections are to consistently investing the same amount on each selection. This process will ensure that our bankroll and our clients will maximize their investment return. Moreover, the entire methodology eliminates the human emotion from all selection processes. Our computer systems are based on genetic algorithms and an adaptive-structure Neural Network. In summary, our systems calculate and analyze several hundred thousand pieces of data in combination with one another for each game played. The systems also optimize our combination of rules and utilize "team momentum" much like one would do in the technical analysis of a stock or soybean prices. Much like the commodities markets we have applied a "contrarian view" as one of the rules. For example, if a given trend in any sport is posting a 15-2 ATS, then the model will immediately make note that this trend has matured and that a reversal of this trend is likely. If the computer selects the team that does not support this given trend, the 15-2 trend will actually be supportive of the selection. The relative and key differences in opponents are then presented in the selection write-up. The write-up will state why we have selected a given team and will outline the various statistics and trends supporting that selection. We believe that our information is unique and informative and hopefully as profitable as the previous years have been. The key is giving us an honest try and staying with the methodology. Thank you again for your support and good luck.

 


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