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NFL  |  Nov 18, 2018
Panthers vs. Lions
Panthers
-3½ -110
  at  PINNACLE
in 3d

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Carolina Panthers -3.5 

The Carolina Panthers will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday against the Detroit Lions.  They were embarrassed on National TV on Thursday last week in a 21-52 road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are playing as well as any team in the NFL right now.  They’ll be looking to show the kind of team they really are this week as that effort was an aberration based on the way the Panthers had played up to that point previously. 

The Panthers are still 6-3 on the season and right in the thick of the playoff race.  They have everything to play for the rest of the way, and I also like the fact that they have extra time to prepare for the Lions this week.  That’s because they did play last Thursday, giving them three more days off than the Lions.  That’s a hidden advantage here that I don’t think is being factored into the line. 

I went 4-1 in the NFL last week, but my lone loss was on the Lions +7 over the Bears.  I thought they would play with a sense of urgency in a must-win game, but they did not, and they were terrible the entire game.  They were thoroughly outplayed by the Bears.  Now, at 3-6 on the season and three games behind the Bears in the NFC North, I could see the Lions pack it in.  They realize they have nothing to play for the rest of the way. 

I should have seen it coming with the trade of Golden Tate to the Eagles.  Tate was Matthew Stafford’s security blanket, and without him he has looked lost.  The Lions have lost three in a row by 14 at home to the Seahawks, by 15 at the Vikings and by 12 at the Bears.  If that’s not the sign of a team struggling, then I don’t know what is. 

Tate was so important to Stafford because he could get the ball out quickly to him.  That helped mask the woeful offensive line in Detroit that simply hasn’t given Stafford any time to throw this season, especially in recent weeks.  As a result, this Detroit offense has been held to just 15.0 points per game the last three weeks.  It won’t get any easier against a very good Carolina defense this week. 

The Panthers look as good as they have offensively maybe ever this season, averaging 26.8 points per game.  And their defense is holding opponents to 17 yards per game below their season averages despite facing a brutal schedule of opposing offenses.  This Detroit offense will be one of the worst units the Panthers have faced all season, and they should have their way with them. 

Christian McCaffrey should have a huge game rushing against a Detroit defense that ranks 28th against the run, giving up 132.7 rushing yards per game and 4.9 per carry.  The Lions also rank 31st in passing yards per attempt (8.9) allowed this season.  Even Mitchell Trubisky torched them for 348 yards last week through the air.  They were without their top corner in Darius Slay in that game, and he could miss this game as well with a knee injury. 

Detroit is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games vs. a team that commits one or fewer turnovers per game in the second half of the season.  Ron Rivera is 9-1 ATS off a blowout road loss by 14 points or more as the coach of Carolina.  Rivera is 12-2 ATS after allowing 25 or more points in two consecutive games as the coach of the Panthers.  Look for an inspired, bounce-back effort from Carolina this week.  Bet the Panthers Sunday.

No. 4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 953-783 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $93,280! That includes a 277-186 Run on his last 463 football plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 114-75 NFL Run over his last 189 releases!

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NFL  |  Nov 18, 2018
Broncos vs. Chargers
UNDER
47 -115
  at  BOVADA
in 3d

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Broncos/Chargers UNDER 47 

I like this UNDER in this division rivalry between the Broncos and Chargers Sunday.  The Chargers have gotten healthier on defense in recent weeks and it’s starting to show with their play on the field.  They have allowed 19 points or fewer in five consecutive games and an average of just 13.2 PPG in those five contests.  They should hold the Broncos in check.  This is a Denver offense that has scored 23 points or fewer in seven of their last eight games overall.  They just aren’t very good on that side of the ball this season.  But their defense is still very strong, and they should be able to slow down Philip Rivers and this Los Angeles offense.  The Broncos and Chargers have combined for 47 or fewer points in seven consecutive meetings.  With a total of 47 Sunday, this is an easy choice.  Give me the UNDER.

*#2 Ranked Football Capper in 2017-18!*

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NCAA-F  |  Nov 17, 2018
Arizona State vs. Oregon
Oregon
-170
  at  BMAKER
in 3d

1* Free Pick on Oregon -

Analysis will be posted shortly

NBA  |  Nov 14, 2018
Spurs vs. Suns
Spurs
-5 -104
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play: 

1* on San Antonio Spurs -5 

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in to fall to 7-5 on the season.  Greg Popovich recently called his players soft.  They should respond tonight and make easy work of the Phoenix Suns, who have been the worst team in the NBA.  The Suns are just 1-11 in their last 12 games overall and they have rarely even been competitive as all 11 losses have come by 7 points or more.  That bodes well for the Spurs covering this 5-point spread when you factor in that the Spurs have gone 14-1 in their last 15 meetings with the Suns as well.  They won 120-90 in Phoenix on Halloween Night in their first and only meeting this season.  It should be more of the same tonight.  Take San Antonio.

Dave is a former #1 Ranked Overall Capper (2012) on the site! He has put together a 3246-2843 Overall Run that has his $1,000/game investors up $90,590! He is also in the midst of 65-41 NCAAB, 41-27 NCAAF & 37-20 NBA Runs! Beat your book in all three leagues tonight by hopping on board for Dave's Wednesday All Sports 3-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* Pelicans/T'Wolves ESPN *HEAVY HITTER*, his 6* Buffalo/Ohio MAC *CA$H COW* and his 6* Seton Hall/Nebraska NCAAB *CA$H COW*! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Thursday's picks for FREE!

NBA  |  Nov 14, 2018
Bulls vs. Celtics
Bulls
+12 -104
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

Boston is at low ebb right now coming home after going 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS on a five-game road trip that concluded this past Sunday in Portland with a 100-94 loss to the Trail Blazers. The Celtics' lone win during their trip came against the 2-11 Suns in overtime.  The question now becomes are the Celtics ready to take out their frustrations against the Bulls today? The evidence says no. Boston likely wins, but not by double-digits. The Celtics are still trying to find their way. Brad Stevens is working on ironing out his rotation. Not only is this Boston's first game back from a long trip - often a bad spot for the home team - but the Celtics have revenge games up next hosting Toronto on Friday and Utah on Saturday. The matchup against the Raptors is the biggest for the Celtics so far this season. So Stevens has little reason to extend his starter's minutes against the lowly Bulls especially if the game gets out of hand, which leaves the backdoor swinging open if it comes down to a garbage time scenario with the point spread on the line.  Boston is at its point spread worst, too, when laying 8 1/2 or more points having failed to cover in that situation the past 10 TIMES, including going 0-4 ATS in that role this season.  The Bulls are a young team with some of their better players injured. Zach LaVine is having a breakout season, though. He's currently the fifth-leading scorer in the NBA averaging 27.1 points a game. Chicago has covered in its last three away games. Only twice in their last 11 games have the Bulls lost by more than nine points. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in North America and he's having another huge season going 21-13 on his premium/free plays for 62 percent after cashing an easy winner with the underdog Cavaliers on Tuesday.) 

NCAA-F  |  Nov 14, 2018
Buffalo vs. Ohio
UNDER
66½ -102
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

1* Free Sharp Play on Buffalo vs Ohio under 66½ -102

My money is on the UNDER 66.5 in Wednesday's MAC football showdown between Ohio and Buffalo. This had the makings of basically a playoff game for the MAC East title until Ohio was upset last week at Miami,OH. Now the Bobcats not only have to win this game, but they also need Buffalo to lose to Bowling Green, which simply isn't going to happen. Falcons are 1-5 in league play and 2-8 overall. I'm sure the Bulls would prefer to just take care of business tonight. I think both teams bring it and as good as the Buffalo offense has been, this Ohio defense is really good and should be able to keep them in check, which in turn should keep this game well below the number. Bet the UNDER 66.5! 

NBA  |  Nov 14, 2018
Pelicans vs. Wolves
Pelicans
+1½ -105
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

10* FREE NBA PICK (Pelicans +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a short road dog against the Timberwolves. Minnesota won their first game after trading Jimmy Butler 120-113 at home over the Nets. Towns had a huge game with a 20-20 performance, but Minnesota shot 53% from the field and held Brooklyn to just 39.6%. I'm just not buying the win as a sign that the Wolves are fixed after the trade. Now they got to adjust their rotations even more with the additions of Covington and Saric. New Orleans has won 3 straight after losing 6 in a row and were all business in a 126-110 win at Toronto as a 9.5-point dog last time out. They are simply the much better team and it would be an added bonus here if either Mirotic or Payton returns from injury. Give me the Pelicans +1.5! 

NBA  |  Nov 14, 2018
Knicks vs. Thunder
Thunder
-8½ -113
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Wednesday card has the College Football MAC Conference Game of the Year along with the NCAAB College hoops Game of the week and NBA. Comp play below

The NBA Comp play is on Oklahoma City at 8:05 eastern. The Thunder fit a nice 24-4 system tonight that plays on certain home teams with a total that is 200 or more and off a home favored win and cover scoring 110 or more,vs an opponent like the Knicks that failed to cover by 7 or more as a home favorite of 4 or less. NY has failed to cover 4 of 5 off a loss of 10 or more. The Thunder have covered 6 of the last 7 and 4 of 5 after scoring 115 or more points. The winning team has covered 10 of 11 in this series. Look for the Thunder to cover. On Tuesday the MAC Conference Game of the year headlines in college Football along with a top NCAAB play from a powerful early season system. We also have NBA.  For the NBA free play. Go with Oklahoma City- RV- Golden Contender Sports


 

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