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NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Cardinals vs. Falcons
+10 -116
in 4h

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals +10 

The Atlanta Falcons are just not in a good state of mind right now.  And with their poor mental state, they have no business laying 10 points this week, not even against a team that’s considered to be one of the worst in the NFL in the Arizona Cardinals.  Let’s dive a little deeper into Atlanta’s state of mind. 

This is a Falcons team that went to the Super Bowl two years ago and lost to the Patriots in excruciating fashion.  Then last year they earned their way back to the playoffs and even beat the Rams on the road before a tough loss to the Eagles.  So this is a team used to playing in big games the past two seasons. 

But here they sit at 4-9 on the season and with nothing to play for.  It has been a challenge for them to find reasons to be motivated every week, and they just haven’t been.  They got back to 4-4 on the season with back-to-back wins over the Giants and Redskins, but have completely fallen apart since. 

Indeed, the Falcons are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  Four of those five losses came by double-digits, and the five losses have come by an average of 10.6 points per game.  That’s the sign of a team that has quit, and at the very least one that is just going through the motions.  How can they possibly be motivated to face this 3-10 Arizona team this week? 

The Falcons have an atrocious defense that is giving up 28.2 points and 387.1 yards per game on the season.  They have been even worse at home, giving up 28.7 points and 430.6 yards per game in their seven home games thus far.  They are just 2-5 ATS at home this season, and 3-10 ATS overall. 

The Cardinals have a first-year head coach and a rookie quarterback in Josh Rosen, who is making strides every week.  They are exactly the type of team that even at 3-10 will show up every week.  They certainly showed up two weeks ago in their last road game, a shocking 20-17 upset win at Green Bay as 13.5-point underdogs.  That’s the same Packers team that just beat the Falcons 34-20 at home last week. 

I think the Cardinals are being undervalued off their 3-17 home loss to the Lions last week.  But that was one of the most misleading finals of the week.  The Lions only had one offensive touchdown and managed just 218 total yards against this very solid Arizona defense.  The Cardinals outgained them by 61 yards, yet lost by 14. 

Rosen should get some help this week from running back David Johnson, who should have plenty of success against this Atlanta defense.  The Falcons rank 26th in the NFL in giving up 131.2 rushing yards per game, and they are even worse ranking 29th in yards per carry (5.0) allowed.  Opposing quarterbacks are also completing 71.3% of their passes inside the Georgia Dome this season.  Rosen is in line for one of his best games of the season. 

Plays on road teams (Arizona) - after failing to cover three of their last four games coming in, in December games are 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven against NFC opponents.  The Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

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NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Cowboys vs. Colts
-3 -115
in 4h

1* Free NFL Pick on Indianapolis Colts -

I really like the value here with the Colts as a mere 3-point home favorite. Dallas is a huge public team. It doesn't take much for the books to inflate their lines and they come into this on a 5-game winning streak and have covered the number in all 5 wins. 

They were extremely fortunate to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite last week against the Eagles, as they scored a TD in overtime to win by 6. The week before they caught the Saints in a really flat spot and snuck out a 13-10 win. 

I get why people are excited about this team, but I think they aren't as good as people think. That plus they all but won the NFC East with last week's win over the Eagles, so it would be real easy for them to take their foot off the gas. I think Elliott has been overused and the entire offense will find it tough sledding without one of the best offensive linemen in the league in Zach Martin. 

Not to mention the Colts are playing extremely well right now. Indianapolis has won 6 of their last 7. Andrew Luck is playing better than expected after a year off and the defense is a lot better than people think. I think the home team is going to dominate right from the start and win here by at least a touchdown. Take Indianapolis!

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NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Raiders vs. Bengals
-3 -110
in 4h

Chip's 'Guaranteed' 3-Pack w/GOY of NFL Best Bets

Chip Chirimbes the Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 1-2 with his Top-3 NFL Best Bets last Sunday including his Game of the Year winner Chicago (+3) 15-6 OUTRIGHT over L.A. Rams and is now a 'Documented' 12-5-1 72% the last four weekends. This week he is posting his 'Guaranteed' AFC Game of the Year between ('Documented' 9-1 90%) between New England and Pittsburgh, his 'Top-Rated' Power Play Best Bet between Seattle and San Francisco and his Megabucks Winner between Philadelphia and L.A. Rams. Get it NOW for just $99.

Chip's FREE NFL Winner

Oakland at Cincinnati 1:00 ET

Bengals (-) over Raiders- Golly, can it get any uglier? I really don't think so, But, as a former friend once barked to me 'there has got to be a winner somewhere.' If you want a winner get Chips' Afc Game of the Year! The Raiders are on a roll winning 24-21 last week against Pittsburgh (no Roethlisberger in 2nd half) and having 'covered' the last two weeks they are about done. Cincinnati has lost five straight and seven of eight since their collapse against Pittsburgh. And worst they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight. Oakland still averages just 18 points per games while surrendering 29.8. Numbers on both sides are ugly as the Raiders are 0-8 ATS after a win and the bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games and finally Oakland is just 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings. The beat goes on in Oakland where they fired 17-year general mange Reggie McKenzie as the off the field chaos continues. Jeff Driscoll gets his second start and is fortunate its the Raiders on the other side of the ball. Take the BENGALS!

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Chip Chirimbes the Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 2-3 with his Fab-5 NFL Best Bets last Sunday including his Game of the Year winner Chicago (+3) 15-6 OUTRIGHT over L.A. Rams and is now a 'Documented' 12-5-1 72% the last four weekends. This week he is posting his 'Guaranteed' AFC Game of the Year between ('Documented' 9-1 90%) between New England and Pittsburgh, his 'Top-Rated' Power Play Best Bet between Seattle and San Francisco, his Megabucks Winner between Philadelphia and L.A. Rams, his Money Game winner between Miami and Minnesota and his Megabucks winner between Dallas and Indianapolis. Get it NOW for just $139.

NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Cowboys vs. Colts
+3 -115
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

T.M. Selection: Dallas Cowboys (FREE PLAY)

The Colts bounced back last week from a 6-0 defeat to Jacksonville to knock off the red hot Texans in an important divisional battle, but I think they’ll have their hands full with a Cowboys team which has completely turned its season around and looks great in all three phases. The Boys are 8-5 after last weekend’s crucial 29-23 OT home win over the Eagles. While Andrew Luck has the advantage over his counterpart Dak Prescott under center, I’m giving the nod to Dallas in the run game, on defense and also in special teams. Note as well that the Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as an underdog, while the Colts are just 10-11 ATS in their last 21 at home, including only 2-3 ATS this season. Consider Dallas.

T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Dallas.

NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Seahawks vs. 49ers
+5 -115
  at  BOVADA
in 7h
1* Free Sharp Play on 49ers +5 -115
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Packers vs. Bears
45½ -100
in 4h
There is a big reason why you can't take the Packers in this game. It is the same reason why Under the total is the best way to get involved in this matchup. That reason goes by the name of Jason Spriggs. He's an offensive right tackle, who is expected to start for injured Bryan Bulaga. That puts him up against Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks. It's a mismatch of biblical proportions. Spriggs is a second-round bust. A wasted high draft pick courtesy of now demoted former general manager Ted Thompson, who may have been suffering from senility when he made the pick. Seriously. Thompson is an ill man.   I'm not a fan of Mitchell Trubisky either. He's probaby not 100 percent back from a shoulder injury that cost him two games. Trubisky returned this past Sunday night against the Rams. The Bears won in spite of Trubisky, who missed open receivers while compiling a miserable 33.3 passer rating.  The Bears held the Rams to six points. LA entered that matchup averaging nearly 35 points a game. Mack has lived up to his lofty reputation. He's in the running for Defensive Player of the Year. Hicks is well above average. The Bears rank No. 3 in fewest points and fewest yards allowed. They lead the NFL in interceptions with 25. The next closest team has 19. Chicago has forced 34 turnovers, six more than the second-place team. Vic Fangio is in the discussion for best defensive coordinator in the league. So it's not a stretch to state this might be the Bears' best defense since their 1985 Super Bowl team. December games in the Midwest favor defense not offense. Teams often run more because of cold weather, which is another plus for an Under.   The Packers were pumped in beating a sinking and demoralized Falcons team at home last Sunday, 34-20. That was their first game since Mike McCarthy was fired. Aaron Rodgers and Co. wanted to prove a point. They did. I'm not sure they are ready to move on, though.  Firing McCarthy before the season was finished after getting upset at home by the Cardinals was a knee-jerk punk move by Green Bay president Mark Murphy and not in keeping with the Packers' tradition of class. Interim coach Joe Philbin is popular with the Packers players. But he's not head coach material. The Packers have to know their season is finished. The Packers should actually hold Rodgers out rather than risk him to a sure-fire pounding like the Eagles are doing with Carson Wentz in order to preserve their franchise quarterback for next year. Rodgers beat the Bears in Week 1 coming back from injury to do it. He's going to be hard-pressed to repeat that performance because of a battered offensive line, being on the road and facing a dominant defense that wants to beat him more than any other quarterback.   Green Bay's defense held a strong Falcons offense to two touchdowns. The Packers actually have as many sacks as the Bears do with 40. That ties them for fourth-best in the NFL. They are fortunate to draw Trubisky.  So I see defense - not offense - ruling this matchup. 
NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Titans vs. Giants
+1½ -110
  at  SPBOOK
in 4h

10* FREE NFL PICK (Giants +1.5)

*Analysis Coming* 

*#1 RANKED HANDICAPPER - 2017** Brandon Lee continues to build on his Massive 1,281-1,148 All-Sports Run that has his $1,000 Clients PROFITING $34,000 OVER L365+ DAYS!

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**#5 Ranked NFL Handicapper 2018**

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NFL  |  Dec 16, 2018
Cardinals vs. Falcons
+10 -116
in 4h

Sunday card has the 2018 Highest Rated NFL Game of the Year backed with a big Blowout system. We also have the NFC Total of the Month, Sunday night football and Hoops. Too much to list. Comp Play below

The Sunday free play is on Arizona at 1;00 eastern. Arizona fits a nice system that is 52-17 to the spread long term and plays on non division dogs of +7 to +10 if both teams are off non division losses. Atlanta is under .500 and laying too many here. The Card are still playing hard and won as double digit dog in their last game. Look for a close game with the Cardinals Covering. The 2018 NFL Game of the Year headlines a huge card today with a big blowout system, there is Sunday night football and the NFC Total of the Month. We also have red hot hoops and more.  For the NFL Free play. Take Arizona. RV- GC Sports


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