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NBA  |  May 16, 2021
Clippers vs. Thunder
UNDER
221½ -109
  at  DRAFTKINGS
in 9h

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Clippers/Thunder UNDER 221.5

Both the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder have incentive to lose this game today. The Clippers would remain the 4th seed in the West with a loss to the Thunder on Sunday. That would assure they wouldn't have to play the Lakers until at least the conference finals.

The Thunder are going to be desperate to lose one more game to ensure they finish no worse than tied for 3rd with the Magic in the lottery standings. Oklahoma City has mastered losing here down the stretch, going 1-23 in their last 24 games overall with countless blowout losses.

The Clippers rested basically ever member of their rotation against the Houston Rockets Friday night and lost outright. They will likely do so again. With both teams basically trying to lose, points are going to be harder to come by. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

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NBA  |  May 16, 2021
Celtics vs. Knicks
OVER
212½ -110
  at  MIRAGE
in 1h

1* Free Pick on Celtics/Knicks over 212½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

MLB  |  May 16, 2021
Cubs vs. Tigers
UNDER
8½ -116
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Cubs/Tigers UNDER 8

The Key: Kyle Hendricks is off to a shaky start this year for the Cubs, which is why this total is higher than it should be. He sports a 6.23 ERA in his 7 starts. But he should get right here against the lowly Detroit Tigers, who score just 3.5 RPG on the season. Matt Boyd should shut down the Cubs as well and continue his great start. Boyd is 2-3 with a 1.94 ERA in his 7 starts this year. Take the UNDER.

NBA  |  May 16, 2021
Nuggets vs. Blazers
Blazers
-10½ -107
  at  PINNACLE
in 9h

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Portland Trail Blazers -10.5

The Portland Trail Blazers still need to win today to clinch a Top 6 seed in the Western Conference and avoid the play-in round. They should handle the Denver Nuggets, who are just concerned with getting healthy for the playoffs and won't be interested in winning this game at all. That's why the Blazers are double-digit favorites and it's justified today. Give me the Blazers.

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Soccer  |  May 16, 2021
Cagliari vs. AC Milan
AC Milan
-235
  at  MIRAGE
in 3h

1* Free Sharp Play on AC Milan -235

*All Soccer picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

NBA  |  May 16, 2021
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
UNDER
230 -115
  at  LINEPROS
in 4h

The NBA Comp play for Sunday is on the Under in the Memphis at Golden St game at 3:40 eastern. In what looks like the most competitive game of the day here with a pair of teams both with a 38-33 record. These 2 have gone under in 5 straight with 224 or less points in each game. Golden St has gone under in 4 of 5 on Sundays and 16 of 21 vs a winning team. Memphis has gone under the last 5 vs a team that allowed 100 or more, 20 of 27 n Sundays and 15 of 22 vs a winning team. With the Winner taking the 8 seed. Look for a competitive game that plays under the total. Rob V- GC Sports.

MLB  |  May 16, 2021
Braves vs. Brewers
UNDER
7½ -125
  at  LINEPROS
in 2h

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick May 16, 2021

Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Freddy Peralta (3-1, 2.77 ERA) recorded eight Ks and allowed only one hit through seven scoreless innings against St. Louis in his last start. On the season, Peralta has 61 Ks over 39 innings of work. This will be Peralta's first start against Atlanta in 2021, but he has the current Braves roster limited to a combined batting average of .207 over 36 at bats. 

Huascar Ynoa (4-1, 2.23 ERA) takes the ball for the Braves. His earned run average speaks for itself, and he has allowed only one run over his last three starts combined. 

Free pick on UNDER. 

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NHL  |  May 16, 2021
Flames vs. Canucks
Flames
-129
  at  PINNACLE
in 11h

These teams play another meaningless game this evening. Calgary won 4-1 when the teams met a few days ago. The Flames haven't played since though while the Canucks are off a 4-1 win against Edmonton. That's noteworthy as Vancouver is 1-8 when playing the second of b2b games while Calgary is 4-1 when playing with two day's rest in between games. Schedule in its favor, consider Calgary. 

MLB  |  May 16, 2021
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
-104
  at  LINEPROS
in 4h
My free play is on the Arz D'backs at 4:10 ET. The Nats made that miracle run to win the franchise's lone World Series title in 2019 but fell to 26-34 in 2020, finishing last in the NL East. The Nats' first four games of the 2021 season were postponed due to COVID concerns and not much has gone right since, as at 15-20 they are tied with the Rockies for the fewest wins in the majors and are again in last-place in the NL East. Arizona entered last year's pandemic-shortened season off three consecutive winning years but went just 25-35 and finished in last-place in the NL West. The D'backs have played slightly better than the Nats this season (18-22) and find themselves fourth in the NL West, ahead of only the previously mentioned 15-25 Colorado Rockies. The two teams cap a three-game series this afternoon at Chase Field, with Washington winning 17-2 on Friday and Arizona bouncing back with an 11-4 win on Saturday. The starting pitchers for the rubber match of this three-game series will be Erick Fedde (2-4, 5.29 ERA) for Washington and Luke Weaver (2-3, 5.00 ERA) for Arizona. Fedde's career began in 2017 and he entered this season just 8-13 with a 5.10 ERA over 46 appearances (34 starts). He's 2-4 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in seven starts this season (team is 3-4). Weaver broke into "the Bigs" in 2016 with the Cardinals and showed some promise in 2017 by going 7-2 with a 3.38 ERA in 13 appearances (10 starts). However, that 2017 seems like a LONG time ago. He was traded to Arizona prior to the 2019 season and in 2020's shortened season, was just AWFUL. He made 12 starts, going 1-9 with a 6.58 ERA and 1.56 WHIP (team was 2-10). He's 2-3 with a 5.00 ERA in seven starts this season (team is 4-3). It's still early but it's hard to see either of these teams contending in 2021 and after back-to-back blowouts by the winning side in this series, the "edge" in this one goes to Arizona. A closer look at Weaver's current season reveals he's made four road starts (he's 0-3 and the team 1-3), as he's posted an 8.20 ERA in allowing opponents to hit .304 against him. However, in three home starts, he is 2-0 (team is 3-0), as he's posted a 1.56 ERA and .172 BAA. Back Weaver and the D'backs here at Chase Field. Good luck...Larry
MLB  |  May 16, 2021
Indians vs. Mariners
Indians
-1½ -111
  at  PINNACLE
in 4h

I'm not sure if I fully trust Cleveland's offense. The Indians haven't scored more than four runs in any of their last five games. 

 But I do trust Cy Young Award winner Shane Bieber backed by a bullpen that has the second-lowest ERA in the majors.  I don't see the Mariners doing much damage against this combination. Seattle is batting .205. That's the lowest batting average in baseball. Bieber has a 1.32 ERA in two career outings versus Seattle.  The key is can the Indians cover laying 1 1/2 runs? They should since the Mariners don't figure to put up too many runs - if any.  This is shaping up as a bullpen game for the Mariners with Robert Dugger as the starter. He's pitched eight innings in four appearances this year. This will be his first start with the Mariners down several starters from their usual rotation. Dugger's career record is 0-4 with a 6.62 ERA.    
MLB  |  May 16, 2021
Marlins vs. Dodgers
OVER
7½ -108
  at  DRAFTKINGS
in 4h

FREE PICK - Marlins/Dodgers OVER 7.5 
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 907/908

I'm confident we are going to see at least 8 runs in Sunday's series finale between the Marlins and Dodgers. After combing for 15 runs and flying past the total of 6.5 in Game 1 of the series, they only combined for 7 on Saturday, falling short of the the total at 7.5. Only reason that game stayed under is because starter Trevor Bauer was lights out. He held the Marlins scoreless for 7 innings and the bullpen kept the shutout intact. 

Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in each of their last 4 games and are averaging 6.6 runs/game in their last 7. They are scoring 5.4 runs/game at home and 5.7 runs/game vs right-handed starters. 

It's why I'm not all that concerned seeing Marlins' starter Pablo Lopez and his 3.07 ERA and 1.205 WHIP. Lopez has a 5.49 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in 4 road starts and is coming in off a bad outing at Arizona, where he allowed 6 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in 4 1/3 innings. 

As for the Dodgers, they are starting Jimmy Nelson, who has only been used as a reliever to this point and hasn't made a big league start since June of 2019. Miami had scored 14 runs on 30 hits over their previous 3 before running into Bauer, so it's not crazy to think they will get back on track in this one. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

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Soccer  |  May 16, 2021
Liverpool vs. West Bromwich Albion
Liverpool
-1¾ -119
  at  PINNACLE
in 11m

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday Free Pick Liverpool -1.75 goals vs West Bromwich @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is rounding into top form at the perfect time and still has hopes of a top four finish. That said, a match-up with West Bromwich should lead to a road rout here. Liverpool has been one of the best clubs in terms of goals scored on the road this season while West Bromwich has been one of the worst clubs in terms of goals scored on home pitch this season. The recent history suggests this will be a tight game but I just can not expect it to play out that way. Liverpool knows what is it at stake and the travelers simply have too much talent for a West Bromwich club that knows its relegation fate has been sealed. Liverpool is off back to back victories by a multiple goal margin and I expect another one here. West Bromwich has been involved in 2 draws and 4 non-draws in last 6 matches. All 4 of the matches in which the spoils were not shared saw the victor win the match by a multiple-goal margin. Look for that run to make it 5 in a row here as the road club gets a comfortable victory. Free Pick LIVERPOOL -1.75 goals


 

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