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NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Broncos vs. Steelers
-6 -110
in 2d

1* Free Pick on Steelers -6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

MLB  |  Sep 18, 2020
Rays vs. Orioles
in 16h
1* Free Sharp Play on Rays -196
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Vikings vs. Colts
-3 -115
  at  5DIMES
in 2d

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Indianapolis Colts -3

The Minnesota Vikings gave up 43 points and 522 total yards to the Green Bay Packers last week.  This isn’t the same old defense that Mike Zimmer has had in his time in Minnesota.  I know it’s only one game, but I believe this is the worst defense he’s ever had.

For starters, the Vikings lost three starters in the secondary from last year.  They are now starting three players who are all 23 years old or younger.  They lost their top pass rusher Everson Griffin to Dallas.  Their next-best pass rusher in Danielle Hunter is hurt.  And although they got Yannick Ngakoue from the Jaguars, he is a non-factor early until he gets into playing shape.

Now the Vikings have to go up against a Colts offense that just put up 445 total yards on the Jaguars last week.  That was easily the most misleading final of the week.  The Colts outgained the Jaguars by 204 yards and should have won.  But they missed a 30-yard field goal and were stopped on downs at the goal line, two key plays as to why they did not win.

Teams who were 5.5-point favorites or more in Week 1 that lost outright are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 tries in Week 2.  This trend is great for betting on teams who were supposed to be good coming into the season, laid an egg in Week 1, and now they’re likely to bounce back in Week 2.  I expect the Colts to do just that against the Vikings.  Bet the Colts Sunday.

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NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Panthers vs. Bucs
+9½ -112
in 2d

I just can't believe this line.  The Panthers are a home dog to the Raiders and failed to cover, but they did play a solid game.  They have 6.1 yards per play scored 30 points and lost.  Tough to hang your head on that.  The defense might be a question but Oakland is much improved on offense as well.  Clearly there is some timing and issues going on with Tampa.  I dont understand going from a 3.5 point dog to near a double digit favorite.  Bridgewater is a very solid QB who isn't getting much respect here.  

NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Liberty vs. Western Kentucky
+14½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Liberty +14.5 1.1% Free Play

Nearly 70% of the tickets and 80% of the money has rained in on Western Kentucky, and this line has gone over the key number of 14.5.  I really do not understand it, and I'm fading the steam here.  To me Western Kentucky does not deserve to be a double digit favorite, and their game where they nearly covered the spread against Louisvile a week ago was completely misleading.  They got 14 of their 21 points off of 5 yards of offense when they blocked two punts in the game.  Tyrone Pigrome is being touted as a positive for this Western Kentucky team, but I think he makes the offense completely one dimensional.

Liberty lost a ton of guys, and only return 9 starters, and did not get to play last week so I get why the line moved from 13 to 14.5, but it's not justified in my opinion.  If anything there is some film out there on Western Kentucky, and the defense struggled big time containing a Louisville offense that features a mobile QB in Cunningham.  LIberty brought in Malik Willis from Auburn, a mobile QB, and I trust Hugh Freeze as the head coach in his second year.  He's a good recruiter, and a good offensive coach, so I expect Liberty will be just fine offensively, and should be in this game. 


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