Free Pro Sports Picks

Dave’s Sunday Free Play:

1* on Buffalo Bills -5.5

The Key: The Buffalo Bills were dominant in their 27-17 win over the New York Jets last week.  They had a couple missed field goals and a couple turnovers that turned a 21-0 blowout into a closer game than it really was.  They outgained the Jets by 150 yards and had 16 more first downs.  The Miami Dolphins lost 11-21 to the Patriots last week.  They had just 269 yards and 3 turnovers in the loss.  They also gave up 217 rushing yards to the Patriots.  That’s bad news for them this week because the Bills are one of the best rushing teams in the NFL with Josh Allen’s dual-threat ability.  The Bills have owned the Dolphins in winning the last 3 matchups by 25, 10 and 17 points.  They should win by a TD or more Sunday.  Take Buffalo.

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1* Free Pick on Steelers -6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

PICK - Chicago Cubs -127
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 974

This is too good a price to pass up with the Cubs at home. Chicago will have a red-hot Kyle Hendricks on the mound. In his last 3 starts Hendricks has a 1.66 ERA and 0.969 WHIP. A guy that normally is all about control, is getting a lot of swing and misses. Hendricks has 17 K's in 21 2/3 innings over those last 3 starts. 

Hendricks is also a guy you want to back at home. Last year he had a 2.04 ERA at home compared to a 5.02 ERA on the road. It's more of the same in 2020. Hendricks has a 2.27 ERA in 5 home starts and a 4.50 ERA in 5 road starts. 

Rich Hill will go for the Twins and while he's got strong numbers, he hasn't only made 6 starts and is not going deep in games. He's only thrown 26 innings total this season. He's not exactly coming into this game in prime form with a 4.05 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Lastly, I think this is a bit of a tough spot for Minnesota. While they are just traveling from one side of Chicago to the other, that was a MASSIVE 4-game series they just played against the White Sox. Wouldn't surprise me if they are a little flat to open up this series. Give me the Cubs -127! 

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We fire at the books Friday with a big play on the diamond.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Rays -196

The Rays (-196) are worth a look as big road favorite over the Orioles. A lot would need to go wrong for Tampa Bay to not win this game. Baltimore's going to have a terrible time scoring in this one. Orioles will be up against the talented Tyler Glasnow, who has been much better here of late. Glasnow has also owned Baltimore with a 2.12 ERA and 0.809 WHIP in 5 starts against them. Cobb will start for Baltimore and is 0-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 5 starts vs Tampa Bay. Play the Rays -196! 

1 Unit FREE PLAY on San Francisco 49ers -6.5

The San Francisco 49ers suffered an upset loss at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals last week.  They had some injuries at receiver and along the offensive line that caused their offense some problems.  But they get a lot healthier this week and should be much more effective against a lesser opponent in the New York Jets.  The Cardinals are a much better team than the Jets, and the 49ers were 7-point favorites over the Cardinals and only 6.5-point favorites over the Jets.  The Jets lost 17-27 at Buffalo last week in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score showed.  The Bills were up 21-0 before they took their foot off the gas.  They missed a couple field goals and left some points on the board.  The Bills had 404-254 yard and 31-15 first down edges over the Jets.  The 49ers are every bit as good as the Bills, if not better.  Give me the 49ers.

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Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Indianapolis Colts -3

The Minnesota Vikings gave up 43 points and 522 total yards to the Green Bay Packers last week.  This isn’t the same old defense that Mike Zimmer has had in his time in Minnesota.  I know it’s only one game, but I believe this is the worst defense he’s ever had.

For starters, the Vikings lost three starters in the secondary from last year.  They are now starting three players who are all 23 years old or younger.  They lost their top pass rusher Everson Griffin to Dallas.  Their next-best pass rusher in Danielle Hunter is hurt.  And although they got Yannick Ngakoue from the Jaguars, he is a non-factor early until he gets into playing shape.

Now the Vikings have to go up against a Colts offense that just put up 445 total yards on the Jaguars last week.  That was easily the most misleading final of the week.  The Colts outgained the Jaguars by 204 yards and should have won.  But they missed a 30-yard field goal and were stopped on downs at the goal line, two key plays as to why they did not win.

Teams who were 5.5-point favorites or more in Week 1 that lost outright are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 tries in Week 2.  This trend is great for betting on teams who were supposed to be good coming into the season, laid an egg in Week 1, and now they’re likely to bounce back in Week 2.  I expect the Colts to do just that against the Vikings.  Bet the Colts Sunday.

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Friday card has our 2020 NBA Total of the Year headlining along with an MLB Blowout and a Top tier Soccer play. Comp Play below

The MLB Comp Play for Friday is on Oakland over SF at 9:40 eastern; Oakland fits a nice system here tonight based on both Oakland and SF in off road wins. Oakland has the pitching advantage with Bassit over Webb. Look for Oakland to take the opener tonight. Our NBA Total of the Year headlines tonight along with a Big MLB Blowout System. We also have early football up. . For the Friday comp play. Go with Oakland. Rob V- GC Sports.

Liberty +14.5 1.1% Free Play

Nearly 70% of the tickets and 80% of the money has rained in on Western Kentucky, and this line has gone over the key number of 14.5.  I really do not understand it, and I'm fading the steam here.  To me Western Kentucky does not deserve to be a double digit favorite, and their game where they nearly covered the spread against Louisvile a week ago was completely misleading.  They got 14 of their 21 points off of 5 yards of offense when they blocked two punts in the game.  Tyrone Pigrome is being touted as a positive for this Western Kentucky team, but I think he makes the offense completely one dimensional.

Liberty lost a ton of guys, and only return 9 starters, and did not get to play last week so I get why the line moved from 13 to 14.5, but it's not justified in my opinion.  If anything there is some film out there on Western Kentucky, and the defense struggled big time containing a Louisville offense that features a mobile QB in Cunningham.  LIberty brought in Malik Willis from Auburn, a mobile QB, and I trust Hugh Freeze as the head coach in his second year.  He's a good recruiter, and a good offensive coach, so I expect Liberty will be just fine offensively, and should be in this game. 

I just can't believe this line.  The Panthers are a home dog to the Raiders and failed to cover, but they did play a solid game.  They have 6.1 yards per play scored 30 points and lost.  Tough to hang your head on that.  The defense might be a question but Oakland is much improved on offense as well.  Clearly there is some timing and issues going on with Tampa.  I dont understand going from a 3.5 point dog to near a double digit favorite.  Bridgewater is a very solid QB who isn't getting much respect here.  

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NY Yankees over Boston- Last year it was Baltimore and this season it is Boston. In 2019 the Yankees went a perfect 18-0 against the orioles and this season they are 10-0 against the Red Sox. New York is on an epic homer streak and Boston just doesn't have the arms to stop the onslaught. Get Chips' MLB Power Play between the White Sox and Reds and play YANKEES!