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NFL  |  Sep 19, 2021
Patriots vs. Jets
Patriots
-6 -103
  at  PINNACLE
in 2d

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: New England Patriots -6

The New England Patriots were as impressive as any 0-1 team last week.  They deserved to win the game but lost 16-17 at home to Miami after fumbling going in for what would have likely been the game-winning touchdown.

The Patriots racked up 393 total yards against a good Dolphins defense and averaged 5.6 yards per play.  They held the Dolphins to just 259 total yards and 5.0 yards per play, outgaining them by 134 yards for the game and 0.6 yards per play.  Mac Jones was impressive in his debut, completing 29-of-39 passes for 281 yards and a touchdown while only taking one sack.

The New York Jets 'only' lost on the road to the Carolina Panthers 19-14.  But keep in mind the Panthers were up 16-0 in that game and got pretty vanilla in the second half.  But the Panthers were all over Zach Wilson, who clearly has little help with this team.  The Jets only averaged 4.2 yards per play and managed 252 total yards while giving up 381 total yards and 6.0 yards per play.

Wilson just lost his best offensive lineman in Mekhi Becton to a season-ending injury last week, so he'll be running for his life again.  This is a Jets team with laundry list of injuries already with five offensive linemen on the IR.  They just lost one of their best defensive players in S Lamarcus Joyner last week to a season-ending injury as well.

There's just too much on rookie Wilson's shoulders in the early going.  And Bill Belichick not only dominates rookie quarterbacks, he is also tremendous coming off a loss.  Belichick is 57-34 ATS off a loss as the coach of New England.  He is 12-4 ATS in road games off a division loss as the coach of the Patriots.  He is also 29-14 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points as their head coach.  Bet the Patriots Sunday.

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NFL  |  Sep 19, 2021
Chiefs vs. Ravens
Ravens
+4 -110
  at  CONSENSUS
in 2d

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Baltimore Ravens +4

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens were 2.5-point underdogs in the lookahead line before they played Monday night against the Raiders.  Now they are 4-point dogs to the Chiefs.  I like the price we are getting with the Ravens here.  They need this game like blood to avoid falling to 0-2.  And we will get a big effort from them because of it.  They have the formula to beat the Chiefs.  They led the NFL in rushing last year and do a great job of controlling the clock.  They will take that approach here against a Chiefs team that was fortunate to beat the Browns 33-29 in their opener after erasing a double-digit deficit.  The Chiefs allowed 153 rushing yards and 5.9 YPC against the Browns.  Lamar Jackson and company will be able to run wild on them as well.  Some key defenders in S Matthieu, LB Hitchens and DE Clark are all questionable for the Chiefs this week.  The Chiefs are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall and have been getting too much respect consistently.  The Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Take Baltimore.

**7X Top 10 NFL Handicapper!** That's right, Dave has SEVEN Top 10 NFL Finishes dating back to 2008!  He is riding a solid 448-366 NFL Run over the long haul! That includes a more recent 202-160 NFL Run over the past four seasons! He was also the #2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2020 while in the midst of a HUGE 731-590 All Sports Run since December 28th, 2019! Give your book the beating it deserves in pro football this weekend and hop on board for Dave's Sunday NFL 3-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NFL Game fo the Week, his 6* 49ers/Eagles NFC *CA$H COW* and his 6* Broncos/Jaguars AFC *CA$H COW*! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Monday's NFL pick for FREE!

MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Phillies vs. Mets
Phillies
-120
  at  WMHILL
in 6h

My free play is on the Phi Phillies at 7:10 ET.


The Phillies visit Citi Field Friday night for the opening of a three-game series with the Mets. Philadelphia earned a historic win Thursday night, when it overcame an early seven-run deficit to rout the visiting Chicago Cubs 17-8 in the rubber game of a three-game series. The Phillies are the first National League team in the modern era to win a game by at least nine runs after trailing by at least seven. Meanwhile, the Mets were off Thursday after the visiting St Louis Cardinals completed a damaging three-game sweep with an 11-4 win Wednesday night. The 74-72 Phillies are three games back of the first-place Braves in the NL East, while the Mets have fallen 5 1/2-games off the pace. As for the teams' wild card status, the Phillies are 2 1/2-games back of the No. 2 wild card spot, while the Mets are five games back.


Friday's starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler (13-9, 2.86 ERA) for Philadelphia and Taijuan Walker (7-9, 4.29 ERA) for New York. Wheeler has won THREE straight starts, opening September 2-0 with an 0.71 ERA (one ER allowed on a solo HR over 12.2 innings). As for Walker, his last victory came way back on June 24. He's winless over his last nine starts, going 0-6 (team is 1-8) with an ERA of 6.52.


Wheeler was part of the Mets' organization from 2011-19 before signing with the Phillies in December 2019. He is 3-1 with a 2.72 ERA in seven starts against his ex-teammates, including a two-hit shutout against New York on Aug 8, striking out 11 and walking one in a 3-0 victory. No reason NOT to like him again here, as the Mets own the fifth-worst record in MLB (16-27) since Aug 1. Don't forget, Wheeler's counterpart (Walker), is winless in his last nine (team is 1-8).


Good luck...Larry

MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Pirates vs. Marlins
Marlins
-155
  at  LINEPROS
in 6h

DMack's Free Play for Friday, September 17h, 2021 is on the Miami Marlins

The Pirates have basically been playing out the string since the All-Star Break as evidenced by their 18-39 mark in their L57. The Bucs have also lost seven in a row on the road and send Wil Crowe to the mound with his 8.71 ERA in his L5 starts. To there credit, the Marlins haven't quit and are 5-3 in their L8 and 6-2 at home L8. Elieser is nothing special but he'll give you a chance to win and the Fish are 4-4 in his starts. Based on the Pirates poor overall and road form and the Marlins current solid play at home, South Beach gets the call here. 

NCAA-F  |  Sep 17, 2021
Central Florida vs. Louisville
UNDER
70 -110
  at  LINEPROS
in 6h

1* Free Pick on Central Florida/Louisville under 70 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

NFL  |  Sep 19, 2021
Raiders vs. Steelers
Steelers
-6 -110
  at  CAESARS
in 2d

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Steelers -6

This is such a bad spot for the Oakland Raiders.  They are coming off a massive overtime win on Monday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens.  It was a monumental win for their franchise as it was the first time fans were allowed inside their new Allegiant Stadium, and the place was rocking.  Now the Raiders have to travel on the road on a short week for an early 1:00 EST start time, which will be a 10:00 AM body clock game.  This reminds me a lot of last year when the Raiders had just played the Chiefs to the wire the previous week, then went on the road and laid an egg in an early start time game in a 43-6 loss to the Falcons.  The Steelers have an elite defense and that showed last week in a 23-16 win at Buffalo as 6.5-point dogs.  Their offense will only get sharper as the season goes on, and they take a step down in class here against this Raiders defense compared to that Buffalo defense.  The Raiders also came out of that game against the Ravens with a ton of injuries.  Give me the Steelers.

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MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Mariners vs. Royals
Mariners
-109
  at  LINEPROS
in 7h

1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners -109

The Mariners (-109) are worth a look as a slim road favorite against the Royals in Friday's MLB action. Pretty good price here to back Seattle at with Chris Flexen on the mound. Flexen is 11-6 with a 3.73 ERA and has a strong 1.257 WHIP. I trust him a lot more than I do KC's Brady Flexen, who is 4-10 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.550 WHIP in 25 starts. Seattle should be laying a much bigger number here. Play the Mariners -109! 

MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Phillies vs. Mets
UNDER
7½ -104
  at  PINNACLE
in 6h

Friday card has the Top Level College Football Platinum Supreme totals Play and a Powerful MLB Card led by our Friday night Hot side and 2 big Totals. MLB Comp Play below.

The MLB Comp Play for Friday is on the Under 7.5 runs in the Philadelphia at NY. Mets game at 7:30 eastern. Philly has Wheeler going and he has allowed 3 run in 13 innings this year pitching at Citi against hid former team. He opposes Mets righty T. Walker who has allowed 2 runs in 9 innings here against the Phillies here this year. The Mets have stayed under 11 of 14 on Fridays, 8 of 11 as a dog and 8 of 9 vs a pitcher with a 1.15 or less Whip. The Phillies are 5 of 7 under vs teams under .500 and 5 of the last 6 here have played under the total. Look for this one to stay under. On Friday The Friday night Hot Side with a 16-0 system headlines the MLB Card with 2 big Power totals. In College we have our Top level Platinum Supreme total. Jump on now as we get the weekend started fast. For the MLB Comp play. Play the Mets and Phillies Under the total. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Twins vs. Blue Jays
OVER
9 -120
  at  CONSENSUS
in 6h

The Jays are off a relatively low-scoring series agianst the Rays. Tonight's opener against the Twins figures to be more offensive. Ryu's last start saw 21 runs scored, an 11-10 final. He'd personally give up  seven of those runs, while pitching only 2 2/3 innings. Ten of his past 14 starts have finished with a minimum of nine combined runs and seven of those reached double-digits. Meanwhile, Pineda has seen four of his past five starts hit double-digits. Pineda's last three starts vs. the Jays have produced 11, 13 and 12 runs. Consider the Over. 

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NFL  |  Sep 19, 2021
Rams vs. Colts
Rams
-3½ -106
  at  PINNACLE
in 2d

I know the betting public will be all over the Rams here as well.  Let's be honest here though exactly what do you like about the Colts here besides this being a smelly line?  The Colts were completely owned last week against the Seahawks and the deep ball hurt them.  Wentz didn't show anything to deserve to being back here.  I know the Rams defense against the run wasn't great but I think Stafford and company their big play ability that was put on display Sunday night will be the difference here and they cover this short number. 

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MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Mariners vs. Royals
Royals
+100
  at  CONSENSUS
in 7h

Chip's NCAAF Power Play Winner

Chip Chirimbes, Las Vegas Hilton Champion and 'Big Game Player' and Handicapping Award winner congratulates all that took advantage with his NCAAF Power Play winner Louisiana-Lafayette (-20) 49-14 over Ohio. Tonight, Chip has another Power Play winner in the Big Ten between Maryland and Illinois. Get Chip's Top-Rated 'Guaranteed' NCAAF Best Bet winner only $39!

Chip's FREE MLB Winner

Seattle at Kansas City 8:10 ET

Royals over Mariners- Seattle has had a much better year than most expected will send Chris Flexen (11-6, 3.73 ERA) to the hill and have lost two straight and dropped their last three series. Kansas City will send Brady Singer (4-10, 4.85) to the mound has been inconsistent and is coming off a poor performance against the Twins and should bounce back here. The Mariners are just 1-5 in their last six against right-handed starters and 2-5 in their last seven meetings against the Royals. KC is 5-2 in their last seven games as underdogs. Take KANSAS CITY!

MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Indians vs. Yankees
Indians
+170
  at  CONSENSUS
in 6h
Zach Plesac and the Indians are mediocre. But mediocre may be good enough to beat the Yankees right now. At this huge plus price, I'll toss a peanut on Cleveland.  The Yankees are finding creative ways to lose, something they've done in 13 of their last 19 games. They failed to score during their last eight innings against the Orioles - yes the Orioles - and ended up losing, 3-2, in 10 innings on Thursday.  Now the Yankees turn to Corey Kluber to stop the pain. Make no mistake, though, this is not the Kluber of Cy Young vintage of 2014 and 2017. He has a 4.02 ERA and is working his way back into shape after being out three months with a strained right shoulder. This will be his fourth start since going on the Injured List. He has an 8.49 ERA during his first three starts since returning.  Plesac is 6-2 with a 4.60 ERA in 11 starts since the All-Star break. He's been one of the luckier pitchers in the league with a 10-5 record as the Indians usually hit well for him. Plesac held the Brewers to two earned runs in six innings during his last start this past Saturday. 
NCAA-F  |  Sep 18, 2021
Tulane vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss
-14 -110
  at  CONSENSUS
in 1d

FREE PICK - Ole Miss Rebels -14
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 196

This is one line that didn't make a lot of sense to me. I think Ole Miss at a minimum should be a 17.5-point favorite in this game. Success has followed Lane Kiffin ever since his 3-year stint with the Crimson Tide. He instantly turned FAU into a power in C-USA (were coming off 3 straight 3-win seasons and won 11 games in his first year on the job). 

He took over Ole Miss last year in the midst of a pandemic and went 5-5 with a 9-game SEC schedule and a matchup with Indiana in a bowl (won 26-20). Their 4-5 record in conference play was the best in 5 years. 

They got just about everyone back (16 returning starters), including star quarterback Matt Corral. The offense wasn't the problem last year. They averaged 39.2 ppg and scored 48 against Alabama. It was the defense that held them back. 

They really thought they would be better on that side of the ball in 2021. So far, it looks to be the case. That defense played extremely well in their 43-24 win against Louisville. They really dominated until they took their foot off the gas in the 2nd half (Rebels led 29-3 with less than 5 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter). I don't think there's any doubt its improved. 

Not only do I think people are sleeping on just how good this Ole Miss team is, but I think people see that Tulane only lost 35-40 at Oklahoma and just assume they will be able to keep it within 2 TD's. What they don't look at is how that game played out. The Sooners led 37-14 at the half and went on to score just 3-points in the 2nd half. Ole Miss is scoring at will against this defense. 

I'm also not so sure that the Rebels aren't better than Oklahoma. I definitely don't think there's as big a gap between them as this line indicates. The Sooners were a 31-point home favorite, which is basically saying Ole Miss would be around a 17-point dog on a neutral site to Oklahoma. 

I think the only way the Rebels don't win by 20 is if they don't show up to play. With a bye week on deck, there's no reason for them to not be 100% focused on getting this win. Keep in mind the fact that Tulane rallied to make it close vs Oklahoma will help keep Ole Miss from overlooking them. Give me the Rebels -14! 

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Soccer  |  Sep 17, 2021
Leeds United vs. Newcastle United
Newcastle United
+217
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

EPL Friday Free Pick NEWCASTLE Money Line +217 - Each club searching for first victory of the season. Newcastle is the host for this one and the home dog value is worth a look in my opinion. Note that Leeds had 19 road matches last season, as per usual, and none of them ended in a draw. The point is that there should be a victor in this match rather than a splitting of the spoils. That being said, I know both clubs are winless on the season but the value is with the club on their home pitch and getting 2 to 1 payback odds! The hosts showed some positive signs in their battle with Manchester United last week though the final score would not indicate that but the effort was there. Look for a similar effort here and this time it pays off with a victory. Free Pick NEWCASTLE +217


 

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