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The Washington Wizards have opened the season 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS with their two losses coming to the Heat and Raptors by a combined 5 points. It’s safe to say that the Wizards are highly motivated for a victory tonight when they take on the Portland Trail Blazers to try and get their first win of the season.
The Blazers may be overvalued now after their 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS start with wins over the Lakers by 9 and Spurs by 13. I don’t think they’ll be playing with as much sense of urgency as the Wizards will be tonight.
Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series recently. The road team is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings. The Wizards have won outright as underdogs in their last two trips to Portland, and they lost in overtime previously. They should be able to pull off the upset again here or at least stay within the number. Bet the Wizards Monday.
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We are seeing a big overreaction here with the total in Monday's Western Conference clash between the Grizzlies and Jazz. Both these teams put on a show in the 1st half of their last game. Memphis had a franchise-record 77-points in the 1st half against the Hawks, while Utah threw up 81 on the Warriors.
It simply has the number here too high, as neither of these teams are really built to be offensive juggernauts. Utah is known more for their defense and after giving up 124 at home to Golden State, I expect a bigger focus on the defensive side of the ball.
As for Memphis, I'm not reading anything into what a team does offensively against the Hawks, who are arguably the worst team in the league. The Grizzlies only managed 83 points in their opener at Indiana and for them to be competitive in the west, they are going to have to grind out games with their defense.
These two teams played 3 times last season and the most they combined for any of the 3 matchups was 204 points. Two of the three didn't eclipse 185 points. Now the books are calling for close to 220 points. I just don't see that happening.
UNDER is 26-12 in Utah's last 38 home games after scoring 110 or more points in two straight games and 6-2 in the Grizzlies last 8 after scoring more than 125. Take the UNDER!
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It was always going to take some time for the Lakers to gel with all the new pieces they added this offseason. And that has come to fruition thus far as the Lakers are 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS with a road loss to the Blazers (119-128) and a home loss to the Rockets (115-124). And making matters worse now is that two key players in Brandon Ingram and Rajon Rondo have been suspended following an altercation with the Rockets. Ingram will miss the next four games while Rondo will miss the next three. The Spurs should be able to beat the short-handed Lakers tonight. I like this Spurs team led by LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan. I think they’ll be better than most expect given Greg Popovich’s track record. Give me the Spurs.
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The Key: Minnesota is off to a tough-luck 1-2 start this season. They lost by 4 points at San Antonio and by 4 points at Dallas. They won their only home game 131-123 over the Cavaliers. I think we are getting the Timberwolves cheap tonight as only 2-point home favorites over the Pacers. Indiana’s 2-1 start featured a pair of home wins over the Grizzlies and Nets, but a 17-point loss in their lone road game at Milwaukee. The home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Minnesota.
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My money is on the Giants to cash in a cover on the road against the Falcons on Monday Night Football. The public is coming in on Atlanta at close to a 70% clip, yet we have seen this number only get smaller. I believe it's for good reason. The Falcons defense has been decimated with injuries and it's not going to get any better. The Giants are due for an offensive explosion and are in desperate need of a win after their 1-5 start. Key here is there's still plenty to play for, as a win would leave New York just 3-games back of first place Washington in the NFC East. Bet the Giants +4.5!
I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a double-digit dog against the Jazz. I just think this is way too many points for Utah to be laying with the way they have struggled on the defensive side of the ball early on. It's easy to ignore the 124 points and 56.3% shooting the Jazz allowed to the Warriors in their last game, because that's what Golden State does to teams, but they also allowed 117 points and 51.6% shooting to the Kings in their season opener. Memphis couldn't have played or shot any worse than they did in their opener at Indiana, where they went a dreadful 25 of 84 (29.8%) from the field. I like the way they responded in their 131-117 win over Atlanta and this is a Grizzlies team that should be much improved with some nice additions and the return of point guard Mike Conley, who missed most of last year with an injury. If Utah is still salting their wounds from the last second loss to the Warriors, Memphis could win this game outright. Give me the Grizzlies +10.5!
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