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I got no problem laying the big number here with Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. It's crazy to think that there could be this big of a gap in a Power 5 conference, which might tempt some people to take the points. Not me. In fact, I think there's some value here with the Tigers at this price.
Clemson has to be the least hyped defending champ to finish the regular-season undefeated that I can remember. I think it's worked in the Tigers' favor, as it's allowed them to play with a chip on their shoulder. Last year's national championship was great, but Clemson is on a mission to keep winning and become the same kind of dynasty that Alabama has been for the last decade plus.
No disrespect to Virginia, but they got no shot of keeping this game close. The Cavaliers outscored their ACC opponents by a respectable 7.9 ppg and outgained them by 27.8 ypg. That's great an all, but Clemson was +35.7 ppg and +319.7 ypg.
Last year it was a similar story against Pitt in the ACC title game and the Tigers won that contest 42-10 as a 27-point favorite. The year before they rolled Miami 38-3 as a mere 10-point favorite.
Tigers are 15-5 ATS last 20 games played on a neutral field and a perfect 6-0 on a neutral site if the total is between 49.5 and 56. They are also 7-0 ATS last 7 road games when they come in having won 7 or more consecutive games and are winning in this spot by 33.7 ppg. Take Clemson!
The set-up: Two teams moving in opposite directions collide on Sunday afternoon and I believe those trends carry over again this weekend. Tennesse is now 7-5 after a hard-fought win over the Colts last week. The Raiders are now 6-6 after back-to-back losses, including getting routed by the Chiefs last time out. Oakland is having plenty of issues across the board, not just in one area. The Titans on the other hand made the difficult choice to bench longtime starting QB Marcus Mariota for Ryan Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, but the move has paid major dividends with the ex Miami QB being the difference in the "up tick" in play of late.
The pick: Note as well that the Titans are a perfect 3-0 ATS year off a road win against a division rival, while the Raiders are 0-3 ATS in their last three off a road loss vs. a division rival. The play on the field and the contrasting ATS stats listed above do indeed make Tennessee the correct call here in my opinion. But what about you?! Does Tannehill keep it rolling, or does Jon Gruden get the "ship righted" in Raider-Nation?!
My early lean here would be to take the UNDER 57. I would probably lay the points with Ohio State if I had to take a side in this one, but I do have some concerns with the health of Buckeyes starting quarterback Justin Fields. He’s tweaked his left knee in each of their last two games and while he was able to finish the game against Michigan, there’s no guarantee he will be able to finish this one.
My big concern with Fields and his bum knee is there’s not likely to be as many designed runs for him and he could be hampered a bit in his scrambling. That makes life a lot easier on the Wisconsin defense if he’s playing at less than 100% and will allow them to pay a little more attention to J.K. Dobbins, who torched them for 163 yards and 2 scores in the first meeting.
Let’s also not forget the Badgers held their own defensively for a big chunk of that first matchup. Ohio State only had 10 points at the half and 24 going into the 4th quarter. I don’t think it’s out of the question they can hold the Buckeyes under 30 points and I just have a hard time seeing these two eclipse this total without Ohio State going off for 35+. Keep in mind they had 38 in the first meeting and the game only saw 45 combined points.
As for the Wisconsin offense, I have a hard time thinking it’s going to go a lot better for them the second time around against the Buckeyes. The Badgers only had 191 total yards and 9 first downs in the first meeting. One thing is for sure, Wisconsin is going to try and ugly up the game as much as possible and force the run game with their star back Jonathan Taylor. The Badgers know they got zero chance winning a shootout against this team. Give me the UNDER 57!
Dano Swinney has managed to keep the Clemson Tigers motivated all season despite playing some suspect competition in the ACC. He has played the disrespect card all season as the committee won’t rank them No. 1 despite being the defending champs and not losing a single game. Look for them to try and impress the committee members one final time Saturday in the ACC Championship Game against Virginia.
Clemson has gone 16-2 ATS in its last ACC games. The Tigers went 7-1 ATS in ACC play this season with seven of their eight wins coming by 31 or more points. They also went on the road and blasted South Carolina 38-3 in their regular season finale.
The Tigers may have the best defense in the country. They are giving up just 10.1 points and 232.8 yards per game this season. They have held 11 of their 12 opponents to 14 points or fewer, and I don’t believe Virginia is capable of scoring more than 14 on them, either.
Virginia’s Super Bowl was last week when they finally beat Virginia Tech to win the Coastal. They put a lot of effort into that game in coming back in the 2nd half and pulling out a 39-30 win thanks to a defensive touchdown in the closing seconds. I don’t think they’ll put their best foot forward in this game as their season is already a success no matter what happens.
The Virginia defense has been leaky here down the stretch. The Cavaliers have allowed 27 or more points in each of their last five games. That’s bad news for them as they’ll now be up against a Clemson offense that is putting up 45.2 points and 541.7 yards per game this season, including 46.2 points and 552.1 yards per game in conference play. The Tigers have scored 45 or more points in six of their last seven games overall and will likely get to 45 in this one, which will be enough to cover this 28-point spread.
Virginia is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 road games off four or more consecutive wins. The Tigers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games. The Tigers are just a juggernaut right now that you don’t want to step in front of. They are playing so well that they’re making the rest of the ACC look bad. They’ll make Virginia look like a cupcake in the ACC Championship Game as well. Bet Clemson Saturday.
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The Ohio State Buckeyes blasted the Wisconsin Badgers 38-7 in their first meeting this season. They held the Badgers to just 191 total yards and I just don’t see anything being different this time around. That game was played on grass at Ohio State, and this one will be played on a fast track inside Lucas Oil Stadium. The fast track favors Ohio State’s athletes even more. It will also basically be a home game for the Buckeyes with a short trip for for fans compared to a long trip for Wisconsin fans. What they did to Michigan last week was remarkable as the Buckeyes scored 56 points and put up 577 total yards on a very good Wolverines defense. The Buckeyes want the #1 seed as an impressive win here would give them a much easier path to the national title. Books just can’t set the number high enough for this team as the Buckeyes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Give me Ohio State.
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The American Athletic Championship comp play is on Cincinnati at 3:30 eastern. The Bearcats will be better than they were here last week simply due to how they felt walking off here off the loss to Memphis. So we go the database and see how teams like Memphis do as a favorite vs the same team they played last week. The favorite despite winning more often than now has never covered. Cincy has covered the last 5 here and 5 of 7 on Field turf. Memphis is a lousy 0-6 ats in December games. With the road teams 5-0 ats in the series and with a motivated dog we will take the points with Cincinnati. On Saturday the Conference Championship Play of the year goes along with our Exclusive TIER 1 Executive level Move part of a big power pack pack in college football with Conf. Championship play of the year + Big 12, Big 10, ACC, Championship games.. In NCAAB Action we have our exclusive RPI Scale power system plays up as well as another undefeated NBA System play. For the Free football play. Play on Central Florida. RV- Golden Contender Sports
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Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' and Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 4-1 Friday in NCAA action and followed that with his 10*Game of Year winner Auburn (+3) 48-45 OUTRIGHT over Alabama. Saturday, Chip is posting his SEC Championship 10*Game of the Year winner between Georgia and LSU. Cash-in on this 'Guaranteed' Best Bet winner only $49 or part of Chip's Championship FAB-5 or Triple-Play of NCAAF Best Bet winners w/GOY.
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Virginia vs Clemson 7:30 ET
Cavaliers (+) over Tigers- Nobody what us, nobody cares if we win they don't want us in...nah not Nick Saban but Dabo Sweeny. These are the leaders of our college age youth...woe is us. Virginia is playing in their first ACC Championship game and odd makers seem to believe that they don't belong there. The knock on Clemson the entire season has been the lack of schedule strength because of how far down the ACC is in football. The Tigers will be out to set the record straight and will run up the score if given the opportunity. The out-manned Cavaliers will rely on dual threat QB Bryce Perkins and he will try and crack a defense that hasn't allow a TD in the last nine quarters. Way lot of points. VIRGINIA!
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Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' and Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 4-1 Friday in NCAA action and followed that with his 10*Game of Year winner Auburn (+3) 48-45 OUTRIGHT over Alabama. Saturday, Get Chip's 'FAB-5 Best Bet winners including his Highest-Rated' SEC 10*Megabucks Game of the Year winner between Georgia and LSU, 5*Power Play winner between Wisconsin and Ohio State and his 5* Vegas Hotline winner between Baylor and Oklahoma, his Money Game between Cincinnati and Memphis and his 5*Chip Shot winner between UL Lafayette and Appalachian State. Get Chip's FAB-5 of NCAA winners w/Game of Year 'Guaranteed' to Profit' discounted to $99.
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