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Baseball Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers (80-75) at Cincinnati Reds (93-62) Pick

 

Thursday, September 27, 2012, 12:35 PM ET

Baseball Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (80-75) at Cincinnati Reds (93-62)
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio

Pitchers:
Milwaukee RH Wily Peralta (2-1, 3.04 ERA)
Cincinnati RH Mat Latos (13-4, 3.60)


Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds will square off tonight when they meet at Great American Ball Park.

The Brewers will give the ball to Wily Peralta. The right-hander is 2-1 this season with a 2.78 ERA. Cincinnati will counter with Mat Latos. The right-hander is 13-4 with a 3.60 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently has Cincinnati listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus Milwaukee, with the total at 8.

The Milwaukee Brewers have won 26 of their last 35 games and are 3 1/2 games behind St. Louis in the race for the second wild card in the National League. The Reds have already clinched the NL Central, they fell one full game behind Washington in the race for the top seed in the postseason.

Trends:
Milwaukee is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Milwaukee is  26-9 in their last 35 overall.
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Take the Reds in their final home game of the regular season with Mat Latos on the mound. Latos had one of his best outings of the season on Saturday, throwing eight scoreless innings against the Dodgers, while Milwaukee righty Wily Peralta was horrible on Saturday, surrendering three runs on five hits over just 2 2/3 innings against the Nationals.

Prediction: Cincinnati Reds - 155


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